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The Greek Current
The Greek Current

Can Erdogan avoid an imminent financial crisis?

Turkey’s President Erdogan recently secured his reelection, but he now has to find a way to avoid what appears to be an imminent financial crisis. Erdogan’s unorthodox economic policies and his recent effort to juice up the economy ahead of the May elections have effectively pushed Turkey’s finances to a breaking point, and the country is on the edge of running out of usable foreign exchange reserves. Brad Setser, the Whitney Shepardson senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations whose expertise includes global trade and capital flows, financial vulnerability analysis and sovereign debt restructuring, joins Thanos Davelis to break down how Erdogan has brought Turkey’s economy to this point, and look at what choices the country has if it’s to avoid a deep financial crisis.

Read Brad Setser’s latest blog post for the Council on Foreign Relations: Turkey’s Increasing Balance Sheet Risks

You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:

Turkey needs more than economic U-turn for lasting investments

‘Europe will not be whole until Cyprus reunited’

President Christodoulides leads Cyprus' EU initiative

Greek tax authority enhances efforts against tax evasion with new digital app

The billions of euros the state coffers miss out on

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Is France the "new Greece" of Europe? Protests, rising debt, and the lessons from Greece's crisis

A weekend of widespread protests and riots in France has put the spotlight on the many challenges facing the country, from political paralysis to a looming debt crisis. Some pundits and observers are even asking if France, the Eurozone’s second largest economy, is the new Greece of Europe, an ode to Greece’s debt crisis in the 2010s. While this comparison misses the mark in many ways, Europe is...

Conflict in the Horn of Africa, the Turkey factor, and why it matters for Greece

This week we’re turning our attention to the Horn of Africa, where a long-simmering conflict in Ethiopia recently exploded into open war. The situation is grim, but it’s not limited to Africa’s second most populous nation. Eritrea has been pulled into the conflict, Sudan’s civil war is right next door, and on the other side of the Red Sea the Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen continue to strike the...

Secretary Rubio visits Greece, the Strategic Dialogue, and the region's Turkey dilemma

Athens was buzzing this week as Secretary of State Marco Rubio visited Greece. His speech with the Acropolis in the background made headlines around the world, and his emphasis on Greece’s role as “a source of stability in an unstable world" and a “model ally” did not go unnoticed. Beyond Rubio’s comments, his visit coincided with the 6th US-Greece Strategic Dialogue, reflecting the excellent...